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資料２－２ 中長期の経済財政に関する試算（2023年１月）（内閣府） (12 ページ)
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| 公開元URL | https://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai-shimon/kaigi/minutes/2023/0124/agenda.html |
| 出典情報 | 経済財政諮問会議（令和5年第2回 1／24）《内閣府》 |
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【国・地方の財政の姿】
(復旧・復興対策及びGX対策の経費及び財源の金額を含んだベース)
成長実現ケース [対GDP比、 %程度]、光円程度
年 度 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032
基礎的財政収支 4 304|人4497|人4239| 476 | 43.1 1.0 3.1 4.7 6.5 8.1 9.9 11.5
(対名目GDP比) [人5.5] | [48.9] | [人44.2] | [41.3] | [40.5] | [0.2] [0.5] [0.7] [0.9] [1.1] [1.3] [1.5]
国 4356|4526|4290|A4135|A111| 488 | 475| 466 | 458 | 4A51 | 445 | 438
(対名目GDP比) [人46.5] | [人49.4] | [人45.1] | [人42.3] | [41.8] | [41.4] | [41.2] | [41.0] | [40.8] | [40.7 | [40.6] | [40.5]
地方 5.2 2.8 5.1 5.9 7.9 9.8 10.7 11.3 12.3 13.3 14.3 15.3
(対名目GDP比) [0.9] [0.5] [0.9] [1.0] [1.31 [1.6] [1.6] [1.7] [1.8] [1.9] [1.9] [2.0]
財政収支 4365|4558|4300|A4120| 472 | 432 | 412 | 402| 04 0.5 02 | 4055
(対名目GDP比) [人6.6] | [410.0]| [45.2] | [42.0] | [人41.2] | [人40.5] | [人40.2] | [40.0] | [0.1] [0.1] [0.0] | [4人0.1]
国 4408|4574|4342|A170|人44142|4121|4111|4A109|A113| 4122|4135| 415.2
(対名目GDP比) [47.4] |[人410.3] | [46.0] | [42.9] | [42.3] | [41.9] | [41.7| | [41.6] | [41.6] | [41.7 | [41.8] | [42.0]
地方 4.3 1.7 4.2 4.9 7.0 8.9 9.9 10.6 11.6 12.7 13.7 14.7
(対名目GDP比) [0.8] [0.3] [0.7] [0.8] [1.2] [1.41 [1.5] [1.6] [1.7] [1.8] [1.9] [1.9]
公債等残高 1174.9 | 1221.9 | 1242.0 | 1252.7 | 1261.6 | 1269.1 | 1275.9 | 1282.8 | 1291.0 | 1300.7 | 1312.7 | 1327.8
(対名目GDP比) [213.4] | [218.1] | [217.2] | [212.2] | [207.0] | [201.6] | [196.2] | [191.1] | [186.3] | [182.0] | [178.1] | [174.9]
ベースラインケース
年 度 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032
基礎的財政収支 4A4304|A4497|人4239| 492 | 46.7 | 442 | 人437| 人441 | 人445| 人449 | 4A54 | 460
(対名目GDP比) [45.5] | [人48.9] | [人442] | [41.6] | [41.1] | [40.7| | [40.6] | [40.7| | [40.7| | [人40.8] | [40.9] | [410]
国 4356|4526|4290|4A143|4127| 4110|人4105|A105|4108|4110|4112|4A116
(対名目GDP比) [4A6.5] | [人49.4] | [人45.1] | [42.5] | [人42.2] | [人41.9] | [人41.8] | [4A41.8] | [人41.8] | [41.8] | [41.8] | [41.9]
地方 5.2 2.8 5.1 5.1 5.9 6.9 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.6
(対名目GDP比) [0.9] [0.5] [0.9] [0.9] [1.0] [1.2] [1.1] [1.11 [1.0] [1.0] りり [0.9]
財政収支 4365|4558|A4300|A4136|4109| 483| 4A79 | 483 | 488| 494|4102|4A113
(対名目GDP比) [4A6.6] |[人410.0]| [452] | [42.3] | [41.9] | [41.4] | [41.3] | [41.4] | [41.5] | [415] | [4A41. | [41.8]
国 4408|4574|4342|4A177|4159| 人4142|人4138|A4139|A4142|4146|4152|4160
(対名目GDP比) [47.4] |[人410.3]| [46.0] | [43.1] | [42.7| | [人42.4] | [人42.3] | [人42.3] | [42.4] | [42.4] | [42.5] | [42.6]
地方 4.3 1.7 4.2 4.2 5.0 6.0 6.0 5.7 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.7
(対名目GDP比) [0.8] [0.3] [0.7] [0.7] [0.9] [1.0] [1.0] [0.9] [0.9] [0.9] [0.8] [0.8]
公債等残高 1174.9 | 1221.9 | 1242.0 | 1254.2 | 1265.6 | 1276.8 | 1287.9 | 1299.7 | 1312.1 | 1325.3 | 1339.3 | 1354.6
(対名目GDP比) [213.4] | [218.1] | [217.2] | [216.8] | [216.2] | [216.0] | [215.8] | [216.4] | [217.2] | [218.1] | [219.2] | [220.6]
(復旧・復興対策及びGX対策の経費及び財源の金額を含んだベース)
成長実現ケース [対GDP比、 %程度]、光円程度
年 度 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032
基礎的財政収支 4 304|人4497|人4239| 476 | 43.1 1.0 3.1 4.7 6.5 8.1 9.9 11.5
(対名目GDP比) [人5.5] | [48.9] | [人44.2] | [41.3] | [40.5] | [0.2] [0.5] [0.7] [0.9] [1.1] [1.3] [1.5]
国 4356|4526|4290|A4135|A111| 488 | 475| 466 | 458 | 4A51 | 445 | 438
(対名目GDP比) [人46.5] | [人49.4] | [人45.1] | [人42.3] | [41.8] | [41.4] | [41.2] | [41.0] | [40.8] | [40.7 | [40.6] | [40.5]
地方 5.2 2.8 5.1 5.9 7.9 9.8 10.7 11.3 12.3 13.3 14.3 15.3
(対名目GDP比) [0.9] [0.5] [0.9] [1.0] [1.31 [1.6] [1.6] [1.7] [1.8] [1.9] [1.9] [2.0]
財政収支 4365|4558|4300|A4120| 472 | 432 | 412 | 402| 04 0.5 02 | 4055
(対名目GDP比) [人6.6] | [410.0]| [45.2] | [42.0] | [人41.2] | [人40.5] | [人40.2] | [40.0] | [0.1] [0.1] [0.0] | [4人0.1]
国 4408|4574|4342|A170|人44142|4121|4111|4A109|A113| 4122|4135| 415.2
(対名目GDP比) [47.4] |[人410.3] | [46.0] | [42.9] | [42.3] | [41.9] | [41.7| | [41.6] | [41.6] | [41.7 | [41.8] | [42.0]
地方 4.3 1.7 4.2 4.9 7.0 8.9 9.9 10.6 11.6 12.7 13.7 14.7
(対名目GDP比) [0.8] [0.3] [0.7] [0.8] [1.2] [1.41 [1.5] [1.6] [1.7] [1.8] [1.9] [1.9]
公債等残高 1174.9 | 1221.9 | 1242.0 | 1252.7 | 1261.6 | 1269.1 | 1275.9 | 1282.8 | 1291.0 | 1300.7 | 1312.7 | 1327.8
(対名目GDP比) [213.4] | [218.1] | [217.2] | [212.2] | [207.0] | [201.6] | [196.2] | [191.1] | [186.3] | [182.0] | [178.1] | [174.9]
ベースラインケース
年 度 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032
基礎的財政収支 4A4304|A4497|人4239| 492 | 46.7 | 442 | 人437| 人441 | 人445| 人449 | 4A54 | 460
(対名目GDP比) [45.5] | [人48.9] | [人442] | [41.6] | [41.1] | [40.7| | [40.6] | [40.7| | [40.7| | [人40.8] | [40.9] | [410]
国 4356|4526|4290|4A143|4127| 4110|人4105|A105|4108|4110|4112|4A116
(対名目GDP比) [4A6.5] | [人49.4] | [人45.1] | [42.5] | [人42.2] | [人41.9] | [人41.8] | [4A41.8] | [人41.8] | [41.8] | [41.8] | [41.9]
地方 5.2 2.8 5.1 5.1 5.9 6.9 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.6
(対名目GDP比) [0.9] [0.5] [0.9] [0.9] [1.0] [1.2] [1.1] [1.11 [1.0] [1.0] りり [0.9]
財政収支 4365|4558|A4300|A4136|4109| 483| 4A79 | 483 | 488| 494|4102|4A113
(対名目GDP比) [4A6.6] |[人410.0]| [452] | [42.3] | [41.9] | [41.4] | [41.3] | [41.4] | [41.5] | [415] | [4A41. | [41.8]
国 4408|4574|4342|4A177|4159| 人4142|人4138|A4139|A4142|4146|4152|4160
(対名目GDP比) [47.4] |[人410.3]| [46.0] | [43.1] | [42.7| | [人42.4] | [人42.3] | [人42.3] | [42.4] | [42.4] | [42.5] | [42.6]
地方 4.3 1.7 4.2 4.2 5.0 6.0 6.0 5.7 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.7
(対名目GDP比) [0.8] [0.3] [0.7] [0.7] [0.9] [1.0] [1.0] [0.9] [0.9] [0.9] [0.8] [0.8]
公債等残高 1174.9 | 1221.9 | 1242.0 | 1254.2 | 1265.6 | 1276.8 | 1287.9 | 1299.7 | 1312.1 | 1325.3 | 1339.3 | 1354.6
(対名目GDP比) [213.4] | [218.1] | [217.2] | [216.8] | [216.2] | [216.0] | [215.8] | [216.4] | [217.2] | [218.1] | [219.2] | [220.6]